Bob 's Blog

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Weekly Update

*Rates:

30 yr conforming                 6.125 

 30 yr jumbo                          6.625  (to 600k)                  

 7/1 jumbo                             5.875

OR VA                                     5.50

 State Bond FHA                    5.75

  

We are seeing some nice improvement in rates so far this week. After some negative comments from Lehman Bros about Fannie and Freddie on Monday, everything is looking better today.  A regulator was quoted that Lehman's comments "make no sense". That's helped the rate markets along with a nice two day drop in oil prices and a corresponding increase in the value of the dollar. Let's hope a trend is starting to occur!

 NAR reported pending home sales were down more than expected (4.7% actual vs. 3%) but I think most of us in this business already know that. We are seeing some very good buys come across our desk. Although it's tougher to qualify for financing, we are definitely seeing some excellent buying opportunities in our market.

 Now for some changes: Fannie has announced effective with applications dated August 1, 2008, that their rules on converting a principal residence to a rental property are changing - and it's a big change. It's been typical in our industry that if you have a client who wants to purchase a home but hasn't sold their existing home and can't qualify for both the new and existing mortgage payments, the buyer would supply a rental agreement on the existing home. Lenders would typically use 75% of the rental income to offset the existing house payment. That dropped the buyer's total payments and made the debt-to-income ratio fit guidelines. It's been done a million times. But....come August 1st, it all changes.  To use the rental income, lenders will need to legitimately calculate that the buyer has 30% equity in their current residence (using an appraisal, AVM, or BPO). Additionally, a copy of the executed rental agreement plus verification of receipt and deposit in the owner's account of the security deposit. If you can't verify the equity and the security deposit, the buyer will have to qualify for both house payments. Reserve requirements are also increasing in these situations. There is no question that this will make it tougher for some of our buyers to qualify for their new home. If you have a buyer that fits this description, get them in now. I'm certain that this new policy is trying to prevent those homeowners who are upside down in their current home from purchasing a new home and letting the existing one go into foreclosure. Freddie Mac hasn't made this change but, as is usually the case, will probably follow suit.

 For some of my readers, please note that with almost 30 years experience in the Real Estate and Lending fields, I am well versed in many areas of our business. Keep that in mind if you ever have the need for a speaker to come out and address your group. I would be happy to accommodate your requests.

 Final comments from one of the analyst reports that I receive:

 There is continuing chatter from The Street that GM may file for bankruptcy; that would be a difficult thing to accept for those older than 45 0r 50. GM in the days of yore was considered the embodiment of US industrial and manufacturing strength and prowess, the envy of the world in the 50s and 60s. Sitting here thinking of the possibility is a very unsettling thought. The economic world has changed and the US is no longer the leader of the economic parade---except in spending.

 

Have a great week!

 Bob Chiodo, CFP

Equity Home Mortgage, LLC

12550 SW 68th Parkway

Portland, OR 97223

(503)670-7393

fax: (503)670-7062

bobchiodo@equityhome.com

www.ResCommLending.com

 

*Rates quoted are for the use of Realtors and others in the real estate/financial service industries. They are not meant to be a quote for an individual situation. Rates change daily and those above are only listed to assist market participants by keeping them informed of current interest rates.  Quotes are usually shown for a 30 day lock period and a 1% origination or discount fee.

0 commentsBob Chiodo • July 08 2008 05:49PM

Back from Italy with THE report..

Rates:

 

30 yr conforming              6.125    

30 yr jumbo                        6.625

7 yr ARM jumbo               5.75

OR VA                                   5.375

I apologize for another late Update but I just returned from a 2 week vacation in Italy with my son. A high school graduation and college send off gift for him (and me). Time sure flies by. Wasn't it just yesterday when he entered school? I'll talk a little more about the trip in future updates but we had a great time.

I am almost caught up on my emails and all of the analyst's reports that I receive. Looks like over the last two weeks the market's volatility remained intact. Interest rates benefitted from the drop in stock prices. The analyst's call these "safe haven' moves. When stocks prices are dropping, traders sell stocks and buy bonds with the proceeds thus helping to drop the rates. One report suggested that if the stock market recovers, interest rates would jump a 1/4 of a percent. Personally, I don't think another 1/4 or even a half of a percent increase in rates will hurt our market. From a historical perspective, rates would still be quite low. There are signs that the housing market is strengthening and that the bottom might have passed. There are some very good buys in real estate today and we are starting to see some savvy buyers and investors enter the market. We still have a ways to go though to work through the inventory levels and the foreclosures.

The Fed met last week and didn't change the rates - that's what the market anticipated. All are curious as to when they will start increasing the rates. There is a lot of opinion as to whether they should increase rates or not. Increasing rates will help strengthen the dollar and help to ease the price pressure on oil and commodities, yet it could hurt employment and our business, in particular. This topic can be a very confusing and complex issue. Since I don't have any input with Mr. Bernanke, we'll just wait to see what he and the Fed does.

I hope everyone has a great and safe 4th of July. I'll tell you this, you can gain a greater appreciation for our country (especially the Northwest) when you spend some time outside of it.

 

...THOUGHTS?

0 commentsBob Chiodo • July 02 2008 03:42PM